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Mock Cuncher

Mock Cuncher

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PostSubject: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptyFri Apr 04, 2014 9:41 am

Whispers it...

Triolo D'Alene. 


deadhorse 
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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptyFri Apr 04, 2014 11:17 am

I must dust my wedge off and have a punt this year, I love betting on the national. I have a system, I hear all the tips, go through them and pick out the horses that are around the 16to 1 mark and back four of them each way with a fiver. I have won up to £170 and have only lost my bet a couple of times. The main thing is don't read the form guides, they just confuse you.
I also have a system at the dog track, don't look at form, look at dogs, look for lethargy (doping), do they look fit? Are they keen? Have they eaten ten pounds of porridge before the race? Most races on the whole are sorted before they are run.
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Sir Francis Drake

Sir Francis Drake

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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptyFri Apr 04, 2014 11:35 am

"Pick out the horses that are around the 16to 1 mark and back four of them each way".

That's pretty much what I do at Cheltenham.

My system goes like this:

1. Only back horses each way between 40-1 and 16-1.
2. Only 1 per race.
3. Choose the outsider of any ridden by SW-C, Ruby, AP or Geraghty within the above if there is one otherwise a jockey in green otherwise pick a name I like.
4. Get on every race.
5. In the event of a two horse race back the outsider.

Over the course of a meeting that has pretty much paid for itself as it went along for the last 4 years (not including this year which I missed altogether).

You don't get many winners but the ones you do get pay well enough to cover the others.
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Czarcasm

Czarcasm

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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptyFri Apr 04, 2014 8:26 pm

Grand National = Xmas Day for bookies.

Categorically the biggest lottery in the racing calendar.

Alright for a bit of fun, mind.
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hairy j

hairy j

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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptySat Apr 05, 2014 9:18 am

I have The Package in the work sweepstake. Incidentally, that's my nickname in the bedroom* so omens are good.

Spoiler:
 
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Sir Francis Drake

Sir Francis Drake

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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptySat Apr 05, 2014 10:59 am

Here's a couple of promising e/w shouts:

Vesper Bell - It's got Katie Walsh (she was 3rd last year) on it, a woman will win the National one day and there's none better than her and it's a tasty 66/1 so even a place will pay well.

Walkon - Lots of Liverpool connections, has won at Aintree in the past and is 50/1.

Ladbrokes is paying on the first 5 places and giving the best odds from when the bet is placed so there's no need to take the odds.
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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptySat Apr 05, 2014 11:17 am

Czarcasm wrote:
Grand National = Xmas Day for bookies.

Categorically the biggest lottery in the racing calendar.

Alright for a bit of fun, mind.

It can also put bookies out of business if a favourite comes romping home.
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Czarcasm

Czarcasm

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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptySat Apr 05, 2014 1:14 pm

Iggy wrote:
Czarcasm wrote:
Grand National = Xmas Day for bookies.

Categorically the biggest lottery in the racing calendar.

Alright for a bit of fun, mind.

It can also put bookies out of business if a favourite comes romping home.

Unlikely in this day and age Iggs. The big Boys are big enough to carry a loss, and the small independents will usually spread any sizeable risk.
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Sir Francis Drake

Sir Francis Drake

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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptySat Apr 05, 2014 1:40 pm

That 5th place, best odds at Ladbrokes is only for on-line bets.

Scumbags.
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Sir Francis Drake

Sir Francis Drake

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PostSubject: Re: The Grand National   The Grand National EmptySat Apr 05, 2014 4:52 pm

Sir Francis Drake wrote:
"Pick out the horses that are around the 16to 1 mark and back four of them each way".

That's pretty much what I do at Cheltenham.

My system goes like this:

1. Only back horses each way between 40-1 and 16-1.
2. Only 1 per race.
3. Choose the outsider of any ridden by SW-C, Ruby, AP or Geraghty within the above if there is one otherwise a jockey in green otherwise pick a name I like.
4. Get on every race.
5. In the event of a two horse race back the outsider.

Over the course of a meeting that has pretty much paid for itself as it went along for the last 4 years (not including this year which I missed altogether).

You don't get many winners but the ones you do get pay well enough to cover the others.

Pineau De Re. 25/1. Jockey wearing green, white and black.

TYVM.
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